Answers



Posted by Steve Heston on July 02, 1997 at 21:28:33: In Reply to: Absolutely!! Questions?? posted by Richard Reid on July 02, 1997 at 18:24:50:

Richard wrote:

>G = ((1+f)^(p*N))*((1-f)^(q*N)).

This is your bankroll only if you get exactly the expected percentage of wins. If your actual percentage is slightly higher than p then your return will be much bigger. The expected bankroll is higher than G by a factor of roughly exp(.5*N*variance). The expected value of the logarithm of bankroll is the logarithm of G.

You might play with simulations, or just let p = .6 and N = 2 to examine the results.



Follow Ups: