Re: Unbalanced Confusion

From Stanford Wong's BJ21

Posted by Brh on 19 May 1998, 7:57 p.m., in response to Unbalanced Confusion, posted by Unbalanced on 19 May 1998, 8:59 a.m.

Here are some indices I whipped up a while back for a system comparion I was doing at the time. I must add that I derived these numbers myself and in no way imply that they are any better than those which are commercially available.

8 decks 80% Pen UBZ Running Count Indices:

PIVOT = 32

IRC   = 0

       A       2      3      4      5      6      7     8      9      T

12    HIT     37     28     21     -2      0    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

13    HIT      0     -6    -16  STAND  STAND    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

14    HIT    -16  STAND  STAND  STAND  STAND    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

15    HIT  STAND  STAND  STAND  STAND  STAND    HIT    HIT    HIT     42

16    HIT  STAND  STAND  STAND  STAND  STAND    HIT    HIT     47     21

S18    28  STAND  STAND  STAND  STAND  STAND  STAND  STAND    HIT    HIT

8     HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT     42     31    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

9     HIT     28      0   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB     42    HIT    HIT    HIT

10     42   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB     42

11     28   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB

A2    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT   DOUB   DOUB    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

A3    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT   DOUB   DOUB    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

A4    HIT    HIT    HIT   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

A5    HIT    HIT    HIT   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

A6    HIT     28   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

A7    HIT     25   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB   DOUB    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

A8    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT     31     25    HIT    HIT    HIT    HIT

AA  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT

22  NoSPL  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL

33  NoSPL  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL

44  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  SPLIT  SPLIT  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL

55  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL

66  NoSPL  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL

77  NoSPL  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL

88  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT

99  NoSPL  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  SPLIT  NoSPL  SPLIT  SPLIT  NoSPL

TT  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL     53     47     45  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL  NoSPL

INSURE  39 

Of course, I can not let this go without adding that if you start with an IRC of -4*Ndecks = -32, you can compute the Unbalanced True Count
in the usual way, that is

  UTC = RC / (decks remaining)

where the UTC for UBZ11 is almost exactly equal to the true count for Zen minus 2. That is

  TC(zen) ~= UTC(UBZ11) - 2  .

Therefore, you can use all of the published Zen indices (Snyder etc..) with your UTC for UBZ11, by simply subtracting 2 from the Zen indices.

For 8 decks, unbalanced running counts really start to degrade in a big way, I would really recommend you think about switching to the true count. This is much easier than learning a new balanced counting system. I might also add that used in this way, Wonging is very easy, simply play only decks for which the UTC and correspondingly the RC is greater than or equal to zero.

Cheers,
Brett.

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