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Table of Contents

Mathematics
  The Basics
  
Odds and Ends
  
Probability
  
Statistics
  
Calculus
  
Efficiency
  
Linear Algebra
  
Least Squares Estimates
  
Logarithms, etc.

Betting Strategies
  Risk of Ruin
  
Bet Sizing
  
Cover Betting
  
Kelly Betting
  
Progressive Betting
  
Proportional Betting

Consequences
  Rules
  External Consequences
  
Streaks
  
Cut Card Effect
Counting Strategies
  Definitions
  Card Counting Systems
  
The True Count Theorem
  
Unbalanced True Count Proof

Reference
  Glossary of Terms
  
Effects of Removal
  
Expected Value Tables
  
Reference Tables, etc.
Playing Strategies
  Basic Strategy
  
Indices
  
Shuffle Tracking / Card Location
  
Alternative Strategies
Computer Science of Blackjack

Computer Algorithms / Programs
Flowcharts


Mathematics

The Basics
  • Numbers
  • Tables of Facts and Formulas

Odds and Ends

  • Formula for (M) Consecutive Heads Not Occurring in (N) Total Flips
  • Law of Independent Trials: Is it Flawed?
  • Law of Independent Trials: Is it Flawed? Part II
  • Percentage
  • Odds "To" One
  • Odds "For" One
  • Expectation

Probability

  • The Probability of two Events both Occurring
  • The Probability of Either of two Events or both Occurring
  • Combinations
  • Permutations
  • Conditional Probability
  • Blackjack Probabilities

Statistics

  • Advantage is a bogus statistic
  • Effects of Kurtosis ? None !
  • Generalized Correlation Formula
  • variance of shoe
  • Effect of Standard Deviation on Playing Strategy in BlackJack
  • What is standard deviation?
  • Averages
  • The Standard Deviation
  • Standard Error of the Mean
  • The Normal Distribution
  • Confidence Intervals
  • Standarization Details
  • Reference Tables, etc.
  • Correlation Details

Calculus

  • Functions
  • Field Guide to Functions
  • The Derivative

Efficiency

  • Scoring the Shoe Strategies (Long)
  • BC/PE/IC Count Analyzer Version 3.5
  • Efficiency

Linear Algebra

  • Linear Algebra Tutorial

Least Squares Estimates

  • Curve Fitting Details
  • The Method of Least Squares

Logarithms, etc.

  • What in the World is a Logarithm
  • Powers Link
  • Polynomials, Radicals, Functions, etc.
  • Exponential Growth vs Logarithmic Growth




Reference

Glossary of Terms
  • Tables of Facts and Formulas
  • Favorite Mathematical Constants
  • Table of Mathematical Constants
  • Everyday Mathematics Glossary
  • PROPHET Statguide: Glossary
  • Hamilton's Math to Build On Glossary
  • Hyperstat Glossary
  • Statistics Glossary

Effects of Removal

  • Generic Betting EORs
  • Generic Playing EORs

Expected Value Tables

  • 1D, H17, DOA, RSA=0, RSP=4
  • 1D, S17, DOA, RSA=0, RSP=4
  • 2D, H17, DOA, DAS, RSA=0, RSP=4
  • 2D, H17, DOA, DAS, RSA=0, RSP=6
  • 2D, S17, DOA, DAS, RSA=0, RSP=4
  • 4D, H17, DOA, DAS, RSA=0, RSP=4
  • 4D, S17, DOA, DAS, RSA=0, RSP=4
  • 6D, H17, DOA, DAS, RSA=0, RSP=4
  • 6D, S17, DOA, DAS, RSA=0, RSP=4
  • 8D, H17, DOA, DAS, RSA=0, RSP=4
  • 8D, S17, DOA, DAS, RSA=0, RSP=4

Reference Tables, etc.

  • Blackjack Formula (edited)
  • Charting the Games by Desirability Indices (Revised)
  • Bankroll (from ROR) Calculation [JavaScript calculator]
  • General Risk of Ruin Calculation [JavaScript calculator]
  • Number of hours to reach goal [JavaScript calculator]
  • The Probability of Increasing Ones Bankroll [JavaScript calculator]
  • The Calculation of N0 [JavaScript calculator]
  • Two very useful Java Applets
    a) For determining Areas under Standard Normal Density (bell) curves
    b) For determining Quantiles of the Normal Distribution
  • Unit Normal Linear loss Integral (UNLLI)



Betting Strategies

Risk of Ruin

  • Detailed CE analysis.
  • Using RA-Fractions to Optimize DI or RoR.
  • Why What You Got Ain't What You Expected:
    Edge, Volatility, and Risk of Ruin in Gambling
  • Expectation with possible ruin
  • Risk of Ruin Charts
  • Effect of Trip Ruin on Trip EV (A longy but a goody)
  • Risk of Ruin Spreadsheet
  • Effect of proportional betting on trip risk
  • Effect of Overhead on Risk Of Ruin
  • Beyond Don's Charts?
  • Risk, Ruin, and Trip-Stake Wipeout
  • Risk of Ruin Formulas
  • Goal Oriented Risk of Ruin

   Bet Sizing

  • Optimal Betting
  • 50-50 and Even-Money Equivalent Bets
  • Effect of Bet Size on Aggregate DI
  • ?Maximizing logarithmic increase
  • Direct Method once more
  • Theory of Optimal Betting once more
  • The Theory of Optimal Betting Spreads
  • Optimal Betting and Blackjack Attack, Ch 10
  • Optimal Betting Strategy
  • There must be a formula
  • There is a formula
  • Optimum Betting and the Rating of Systems
  • The Final Chapter to the Optimal Betting Saga
  • Demonstration of Equivalence

   Cover Betting

  • 1, 2, 6, deck betting cover costs (revised-long)

  Kelly Betting

  • Re: Whew!
  • Playing two hands and Kelly (not short)
  • Martingales and Kelly Criterion
  • When and Why Kelly "Breaks Down".
  • FAQ: Kelly Criterion, Utility Functions, and Certainty Equivalent
  • Optimal Betting Question?
  • Null Result I
  • Null Result II
  • Null Result III
  • Finding the SD for N hands of Kelly bets for BJ
  • What is Kelly's Theorem: Part I
  • What is Kelly's Theorem: Part II
  • Exponential Growth vs Logarithmic Growth.
  • Long Run Formula For Kelly Betting
  • Kelly Generalization

  Progressive Betting

  • The Small Effects of Multiple Losses
  • Blackjack and "Money Management" (long)
  • Mathematical Proof That Progressions Cannot Overcome Expectation
  • Progression Betting
  • Review of Progressive Betting Systems
  • Modern Progression Systems
  • Ruin for Negative and Positive Progressions--The Martingale.

  Proportional Betting

  • What Proportional Betting Does to Your Win Rate.


Counting Strategies

Definitions

Card Counting Systems
  • Unbalanced system questions and answers
  • System Tag Values and Ratings
  • Re: Gordon w/ All Side Counts
  • Very Simple, Yet Powerful, UBZ System for DD

The True Count Theorem


Unbalanced True Count Proof


Playing Strategies

Basic Strategy

Indices

  • Index Generator
  • Illustrious 18 Revisited (R18)
  • Index generation and usage methods
  • "Hit on the Left" method for using indices.
  • Unbalanced Confusion
  • Rounding, truncating
  • Moss's Algebraic Approximation Formula
  • Understanding Index Numbers
  • Illustrious 18 Indices
  • Java Flashcard Practice program

Shuffle Tracking / Card Location

  • The Blackjack Shuffle-Tracking Treatise
  • Shuffle Tracking, is it overall effective? Compared to counting?
  • Shuffle Tracking: Derivation of "NRS"s "r" and "N"
  • Shuffle Tracking Q and A

Alternative Strategies

  • Optimal (RA) Insurance Strategy
  • Risk Averse Strategy Discussion




Consequences

Rules
External Consequences
  • Dunbar's Tax Analyzer
  • The Cut-card Effect
  • Effect of Count on Dealer Probs.
  • Floating Advantage, and 'Off-Balanced' Counts
  • Zman's Reply - long
  • Dealer break rate
  • Mathematics of Upcard Chicanery
  • In Search of... Clumping (was Re: Reply to Ken Fuchs)
  • Dealer Rating Analysis
  • Ameliorating the cost of cover
  • Cost of cover betting and pref shuffle
  • Why Can't I Win Anything?


Streaks

  • Streaks - Wins and Losses in a Row
  • Totals Report: Win, Loss & Tied Percentages by True Count


Cut Card Effect

  • Cut Card Effect at a Crowded Table
  • Cut Card Data at various penetrations


Computer Science of Blackjack

Computer Algorithms / Programs
  • Blackjack Game and Basic Strategy Calculator (Version 4.1)
  • Introduction to SIMSIMP.BAS
  • Blackjack Counting System Generator (Version 1.3)
  • BJ Game and Practice Shareware Program
  • Numerical Recipes in C
  • thcalc.xls spreadsheet
  • The ISO C Programming Companion Page
  • Re: Another addition to formula [ C Code to calculate correlation of two counts ]
  • A Simple and Efficient Pseudo-Random Bit Generator
  • Sorting and Searching Algorithms: A Cookbook
  • bjstrat index generator

Flowcharts
  • Basic Strategy Flowchart